Econometric Modeling of the Dynamics of the Integration Activity of Russian Companies
نویسندگان
چکیده
This paper presents an empirical analysis of the Russian market of mergers and acquisitions in 2003-2012. This analysis allowed for the conclusion that, to assess and forecast the integration activity of Russian companies, the most precise and appropriate models are seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models built on weighted observations to eliminate the effect of the structural changes which are characteristic of developing economies. Forecasting the values of development of the market for corporate control may serve as “input” information to form a prompt regulation system for the mergers and acquisitions of holding companies, which meets current needs.
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